One poll does not a revolution make

… but still the results of a poll on constitutional change in the Telegraph today is fascinating.

There’s very strong support for Scottish independence, in both Scotland and England, and even 48 per cent for England to shed Wales and Northern Ireland and go it entirely alone.

Predictably, the current politicians are having small conniptions, since it would mean a massive political earthquake with unpredictable consequences – not great if you are now at the top of the tree.

But it does bring into focus the suggestions of a possible early election now floating around the Westminster air: there is a Scottish election next year, which could well lead to a referendum on independence there.

And it is clear that if Scotland were to leave the Union, it would not be possible for Labour to win a majority in Westminster. (Not sure if the Tories could either – anyone seen any analysis of that?)

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